Resource Adequacy
Evaluating and mitigating the risk of customer supply disruption.
Research and Development Challenges
As recent supply deficiency events have shown, existing resource adequacy (RA) processes, metrics and tools may be insufficient and need to evolve to address the rising trend in disruptive events, while also considering the changing resource mix.
Although the initiative has been wrapped, there is ongoing work in accelerating the evolution of RA processes and tools for different regulatory, market, and system characteristics.
Key objectives of the project included: identification of appropriate RA assessment metrics for low carbon systems; development of a scenario creation and selection framework for RA studies; provision of models and data recommendations to represent the performance of resources; understanding of key tool capabilities and gaps in current RA assessment.
Case studies were used to evaluate and demonstrate the methods under study. Over 25 members and arrange of outside advisors were engaged in the project.
In the years to come, we plan to:
- Develop methods to assess resource adequacy with a changing generation mix, including electrification impacts.
- Provide foundational knowledge for resource adequacy assessment and necessary changes for planners.
- Assess flexibility needs and implications for capacity accreditation.
- Understand impacts of energy systems integration, including gas-electric coordination and increased electrification of transport and heating sectors.
Related Deliverables
Demand Side Resources in RA
3002027245
A guide for planners looking to account for demand-side resource contributions to RA.
Accelerating Production Cost Modeling
3002027246
Covers the work in launching a machine learning in production cost modeling competition.
Economic Assessment for Planning and Operations Models TI
3002028308
Conceptual Framework for Assessing Economic Value and Viability to be used across different planning and operational tools.
Scenario Generation for Adequacy Studies
3002027248
Overview of framework and tools using best-in-class methods for scenario generation for RA.
Global Electric System Resource Planning Approaches TI
3002028306
A framework and survey to assess resource planning approaches for decarbonization.
Rapid Electrification
3002027251
Provides quantitative data on the timescales for end use electrification and potential impacts on planning.
Integrating RA and Capacity Expansion
3002027720
Identifies approaches to better link resource adequacy and capacity expansion processes.
Resource Capacity Accreditation Enhancements
3002027010
Shows state-of-the-art for determining capacity accreditation for different resource types and potential considerations for further improvements.
Quick Insights: RRFS
3002029344
Overview of the Rapid Refresh Forecast System (RRFS), NOAA’s next-generation NWP model for weather forecasts across North America.
Zonal Load Response to Weather
3002031482
Analyzes impact of temperature and solar irradiance on load variability and predictability.
CCUS Impacts on RA
3002030177
Provides a framework to support adequacy practitioners and planners in assessing
the impact of CCUS on RA.
Production Cost Modeling: 2024 Update
3002031186
Provides an overview of a competition where participants use machine learning techniques to accelerate production cost modeling.
Economic Viability Assessment in RA
3002031187
Helps RA planners in understanding economic viability assessment methodologies and their implementation in RA studies.
Flexibility in Resource Adequacy
3002030335
Summarizes the impact of integrating flexibility and sub-hourly resolution into resource adequacy assessments, showing significant improvements in system
reliability metrics.
Area Leads
